tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3561726959150987222.post3008220819654415309..comments2023-06-06T06:33:55.098-05:00Comments on Whallah!: Why RoJo Is Supposedly Leading In The PollsOther Sidehttp://www.blogger.com/profile/06475658453374184885noreply@blogger.comBlogger6125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3561726959150987222.post-23920365899196497412010-10-26T07:30:43.138-05:002010-10-26T07:30:43.138-05:00Nevertheless, key is getting these people out. Fin...Nevertheless, key is getting these people out. Find time.krshorewoodhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/00417863312104824551noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3561726959150987222.post-33114096296011917982010-10-14T13:02:17.272-05:002010-10-14T13:02:17.272-05:00Capper- I've mentioned this as well. The polls...Capper- I've mentioned this as well. The polls don't measure young people and oversample conservatives. The CNN poll that has RoJO +8 also has an 18-34 age cohort so small it's listed as "N/a". In a state that has about 20% of voters consistently in that age range, and a group that'll go about 2-1 for Feingold.<br /><br /> http://jakehasablog.blogspot.com/2010/10/polls-still-biased-feingold-barrett.html<br /><br /> Now the GOPs can hope the electorate is all old white conservatives (and they'll try to make it so with vote caging), but it won't be so, and that's why Russ and Barrett are in a lot better shape than Nate Silver and co. think.Jake formerly of the LPhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15660401299391001751noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3561726959150987222.post-76693274357991387742010-10-14T11:54:01.708-05:002010-10-14T11:54:01.708-05:00What does this matter, and why do we put so much e...What does this matter, and why do we put so much effort into reading these chicken bones? We're all interested in who wins, of course. And I get that politics is largely a game of expectations.<br /><br />But what does the horse race tell us? If Ron Johnson's ahead - which he very well may be - does it change the fact that he's an amoral moron? Sure, majority opinion and levels of "support" is how we keep score. But it doesn't confer legitimacy in and of itself. The supposedly wise crowd f#@ks up all the time.gnarlytrombonenoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3561726959150987222.post-44195292929528599942010-10-13T23:42:45.622-05:002010-10-13T23:42:45.622-05:00I know that there was a more recent report that ha...I know that there was a more recent report that had them both at 48, but I couldn't find it.capperhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/08751967312821403092noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3561726959150987222.post-64291345039706973432010-10-13T23:39:24.222-05:002010-10-13T23:39:24.222-05:00I think there may be more recent poll stories than...I think there may be more recent poll stories than the June 22nd one you linked to...Anonymousnoreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-3561726959150987222.post-87422891574840237292010-10-13T23:22:19.175-05:002010-10-13T23:22:19.175-05:00I suspect some of this comes from the cell phone g...I suspect some of this comes from the cell phone gap in most polling. Pew actually just <a href="http://pewresearch.org/pubs/1761/cell-phones-and-election-polls-2010-midterm-elections" rel="nofollow">released a study about this</a> that's worth a read.Emilyhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/11393762115493350763noreply@blogger.com